Caspar ten Dam & Ab de Buck
1 September 2022, Leiden, the Netherlands
Demonstration for and by Ukrainians in The Hague, 26 February 2022 © C. ten Dam
One of our worst fears earlier this year – as mentioned in our article on Bosnian-Serb separatist plans in Bosnia [1] – has come to pass: on February 24th Russia invaded Ukraine.
We have anticipated the fierce, smart and thereby effective Ukrainian resistance stymieing and even reversing Russian advances toward the capital Kiev and other places s however. Thus we predicted that “despite the military disparities, the Ukrainian armed forces would not be a pushover if Putin does decide to invade Ukraine.” [2] The currently slow progress at best by heavily concentrated Russian and pro-Russian forces in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region – particularly in the Luhansk and Donetsk provinces partially controlled by pro-Russian breakaway republics since the preceding war in 2014 – should surprise no one either. Indeed the entire invasion is “about to run out of steam”, according to Richard Moore, the head of Britain’s foreign intelligence service MI6.[3] These setbacks clearly have surprised Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, who masterminded and ordered the invasion of Ukraine with high ambitions of territorial conquest and regime change.