Caspar ten Dam & Ab de Buck
1 September 2022, Leiden, the Netherlands
Demonstration for and by Ukrainians in The Hague, 26 February 2022 © C. ten Dam
One of our worst fears earlier this year – as mentioned in our article on Bosnian-Serb separatist plans in Bosnia [1] – has come to pass: on February 24th Russia invaded Ukraine.
We have anticipated the fierce, smart and thereby effective Ukrainian resistance stymieing and even reversing Russian advances toward the capital Kiev and other places s however. Thus we predicted that “despite the military disparities, the Ukrainian armed forces would not be a pushover if Putin does decide to invade Ukraine.” [2] The currently slow progress at best by heavily concentrated Russian and pro-Russian forces in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region – particularly in the Luhansk and Donetsk provinces partially controlled by pro-Russian breakaway republics since the preceding war in 2014 – should surprise no one either. Indeed the entire invasion is “about to run out of steam”, according to Richard Moore, the head of Britain’s foreign intelligence service MI6.[3] These setbacks clearly have surprised Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, who masterminded and ordered the invasion of Ukraine with high ambitions of territorial conquest and regime change.

BURMESE ROHINGYA ORGANISATION UK (BROUK)