How to help Ukraine win the war against the Russian invader and aggressor
15 September 2024
Introduction: violations, losses and prospects of war
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, instigated, masterminded and ordered by Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and his entourage, is utterly unjustified and has been brutal as well, characterised by shelling of residential areas and deliberate maltreatment, torture and killing of civilians and prisoners of war.[1] So Russia is violating both the jus ad bellum (justice-of-war) ‘right aims’ and jus in bello (justice-in-war) ‘right means’ principles of justifiable and defensible warfare, mainly codified in the 1899 and 1907 The Hague Conventions and the 1949 Geneva Conventions. Any humanitarian-law violations on the Ukrainian side have been incidental and often prosecuted, so pale in comparison.
Losses
Right now the Ukrainian Armed Forces are still highly determined, capable, inventive and effective – particularly at sea and in the air through long-range aircraft, drone and missile attacks against Russia’s Black Sea Fleet and other military assets on the latter’s own territory. Arguably, Ukraine already has won the war at sea, and may do so in the air soon with the final arrival of the first promised F16 fighter jets. Even on land it is continuing to inflict a heavy toll on Russian forces, which is still losing far more men and materiel in absolute numbers than the Ukrainian side (though the latter could afford to lose far fewer men and materiel in the present circumstances).